Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | Yes | 3.46K | $0.804 | $3.01K | +$228.03 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | 7d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.9K |
| $0.897 |
| $1.58K |
| -$124.12 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | Yes | 2.05K | $0.612 | $1.22K | -$34.23 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 1.23K | $0.935 | $1.15K | +$3.86 |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 428.24 | $0.886 | $416.46 | +$36.9 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.820 | $165 | +$1 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.960 | $96.95 | +$0.95 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.950 | $95.5 | +$0.5 |
 Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31? | No | 100 | $0.978 | $95.25 | -$2.55 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31? | Yes | 200 | $0.270 | $79 | +$25 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 56.4 | $0.976 | $55.64 | +$0.59 |
 Will Burundi have an Ebola case in 2026? | Yes | 108.7 | $0.460 | $48.37 | -$1.63 |
| Will OpenAI raise between $30B and $40B in its IPO? | No | 43.02 | $0.930 | $41.11 | +$1.1 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 103.92 | $0.308 | $40.01 | +$7.97 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 104.98 | $0.171 | $35.17 | +$17.22 |
 Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.790 | $29.4 | -$2.2 |
 Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 19.98 | $0.940 | $19.48 | +$0.7 |
| Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026? | Yes | 67.22 | $0.617 | $15.46 | -$25.99 |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.023 | $14.38 | +$13.23 |
 Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 112.11 | $0.060 | $9.53 | +$2.8 |
 Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.070 | $6.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 199.98 | $0.005 | $5.8 | +$4.8 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | No | 5.1 | $0.820 | $4.64 | +$0.46 |
 Will Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 237.89 | $0.009 | $1.31 | -$0.86 |
| Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 45.76 | $0.003 | $1.17 | +$1.03 |
| buy |
| 25.33 |
| $0.004 |
| $0.1 |
| 7d ago |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | 7d ago |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.66 | $0.700 | $1.16 | 8d ago |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | 8d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.270 | $27 | 11d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.270 | $27 | 11d ago |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | 11d ago |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | 11d ago |
| Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 45.76 | $0.003 | $0.14 | 12d ago |
| Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.048 | $4.8 | 13d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 75 | $0.236 | $17.7 | 13d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.362 | $9.05 | 15d ago |
 Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.260 | $2.34 | 15d ago |
| Will Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 187.9 | $0.003 | $0.56 | 15d ago |
| Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 218.27 | $0.001 | $0.22 | 15d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.243 | $9.22 | 19d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.400 | $12 | 19d ago |
 Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.008 | $1.04 | 19d ago |
| Will MiniMax be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 133.18 | $0.001 | $0.13 | 19d ago |
| Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.008 | $1.04 | 19d ago |
| Will Tencent be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.008 | $1.04 | 19d ago |
| Will Tencent be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 56.26 | $0.007 | $0.39 | 19d ago |
| Will Tencent be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 40.39 | $0.002 | $0.08 | 20d ago |
| Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.007 | $1.05 | 20d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | 20d ago |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.070 | $14 | 23d ago |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | 28d ago |
 Will DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 9.69 | $0.090 | $0.87 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 30.88 | $0.003 | $0.09 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 53.9 | $0.004 | $0.22 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.007 | $0.18 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.190 | $0.95 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 10.44 | $0.002 | $0.02 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.99 | $0.087 | $1.3 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.033 | $1.02 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 175 | $0.120 | $21 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?Yes | sell | 22.41 | $0.200 | $4.48 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.350 | $14 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.280 | $14 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.140 | $0.7 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.090 | $18 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 400 | $0.910 | $364 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.630 | $6.3 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.810 | $8.1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Jul 22, 2026 |