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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 70.25K | $0.070 | $2.14K | -$2.8K |
 Ebola pandemic in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 426 | $0.950 | $404.7 | 28d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 13.33K |
| $0.083 |
| $393.26 |
| -$716.56 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.275 | $335.5 | +$32.5 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 520.1 | $0.510 | $273.05 | +$7.8 |
 Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026? | Yes | 639.93 | $0.286 | $147.18 | -$35.59 |
| Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? | Yes | 1.03K | $0.360 | $138.72 | -$231.73 |
| Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? | Yes | 458.98 | $0.311 | $100.98 | -$41.8 |
| Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? | Yes | 342 | $0.341 | $68.4 | -$48.2 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 1.43K | $0.346 | $64.35 | -$430.54 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 100 | $0.402 | $62.95 | +$22.75 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 250 | $0.192 | $60.13 | +$12.13 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 100 | $0.262 | $45.85 | +$19.65 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 75 | $0.112 | $43.69 | +$35.29 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 600 | $0.200 | $39 | -$81 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4.5K | $0.008 | $36.04 | $0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.240 | $32.5 | -$87.5 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 50 | $0.400 | $26.25 | +$6.25 |
| Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.500 | $23.5 | -$26.5 |
| Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026? | No | 28 | $0.717 | $21.56 | +$1.48 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4.44K | $0.019 | $19.96 | -$63.1 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2K | $0.012 | $18 | -$7 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.100 | $18 | -$22 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.360 | $13.5 | -$22.5 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 200 | $0.090 | $13 | -$5 |
| Will Burundi have an Ebola case in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.460 | $10.3 | +$1.1 |
| sell |
| 39.99 |
| $0.991 |
| $39.63 |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.130 | $1.43 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?Yes | sell | 7.92 | $0.140 | $1.11 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 16.85 | $0.300 | $5.06 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.8K | $0.020 | $35.79 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.018 | $36 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.298 | $22.35 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.280 | $14 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.570 | $15.39 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | sell | 300.04 | $0.963 | $288.94 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.014 | $14 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 520.1 | $0.510 | $265.25 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.257 | $102.8 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.257 | $257 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 400 | $0.262 | $104.8 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Yes | buy | 90.49 | $0.340 | $30.77 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.060 | $60 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.009 | $90 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.009 | $1.13 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.402 | $40.2 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.049 | $4.9 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.075 | $4.88 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.075 | $22.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 135 | $0.075 | $10.13 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceSwitzerland | sell | 300 | $0.999 | $299.7 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceColombia | buy | 200 | $0.530 | $106 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceSwitzerland | buy | 100 | $0.410 | $41 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceColombia | buy | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceColombia | buy | 100 | $0.540 | $54 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceColombia | buy | 400 | $0.560 | $224 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceColombia | buy | 100 | $0.540 | $54 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceColombia | buy | 200 | $0.570 | $114 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Colombia | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.999 | $1.2K | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.470 | $47 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.220 | $55 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina | buy | 100 | $0.410 | $41 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.090 | $45 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.420 | $10.5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.270 | $108 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.720 | $144 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.720 | $360 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.002 | $8 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.350 | $17.5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.370 | $370 | Jul 6, 2026 |