Analytics
tradingdecs is down $20.1K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-06 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 70.25K | $0.070 | $1.65K | -$3.29K |
 Ebola pandemic in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-06 11:07 UTC
Polymarket public position response
31 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 19:17 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 19:17 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-06 11:07 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $20.42K and losing ones cost $1.73K across the latest 50 settled positions. 92% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.79K on “US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.34K on “Iran coup attempt by June 30?” (Yes).
It has traded 588 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.78K across 31 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 13.33K |
| $0.083 |
| $333.27 |
| -$776.54 |
 Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? | Yes | 458.98 | $0.311 | $100.98 | -$41.8 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 100 | $0.262 | $83.45 | +$57.25 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 100 | $0.402 | $70.65 | +$30.45 |
| Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? | Yes | 1.03K | $0.360 | $61.65 | -$308.8 |
| Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? | Yes | 342 | $0.341 | $61.56 | -$55.04 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.275 | $60.5 | -$242.5 |
| Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026? | Yes | 639.93 | $0.286 | $54.39 | -$128.38 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 250 | $0.192 | $51.38 | +$3.38 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 1.43K | $0.346 | $48.62 | -$446.27 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 75 | $0.112 | $38.78 | +$30.38 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 600 | $0.200 | $33 | -$87 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.240 | $27.5 | -$92.5 |
| Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026? | No | 28 | $0.717 | $25.62 | +$5.54 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.100 | $12.4 | -$27.6 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.011 | $11.25 | -$16.25 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 200 | $0.090 | $11 | -$7 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.360 | $8.5 | -$27.5 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 50 | $0.400 | $8.25 | -$11.75 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 100 | $0.049 | $5.25 | +$0.35 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2K | $0.012 | $5 | -$20 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 44.98 | $0.238 | $4.34 | -$6.36 |
 Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 404.07 | $0.011 | $3.23 | -$1.21 |
| Will Burundi have an Ebola case in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.460 | $3.2 | -$6 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
