Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 94.5%. Yes opened at 51% on 23 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 151 daily closes on record from 23 May 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 94.5% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 14% on 11 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 47 points up, to 94.5% on 21 Oct 2026. $6.14K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 23, 1:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 151 points, 23 May 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 May 2026 | 51.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 94.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| crossFiter | No | 333.97 |
| MtnMark | No | 200 |
| 73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0. | No | 79.74 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-have-an-ebola-case-in-2026
| Rain-Prob-01 | No | 20 |
| 48xsds | Yes | 1.23 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 0.37 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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