Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 412.9 | $0.024 | $8.05 | -$1.95 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 76.15 | $0.026 | $1.98 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 400 |
| $0.025 |
| $7.4 |
| -$2.6 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? | Yes | 16.19 | $0.309 | $1.7 | -$3.3 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1.53 | +$0.53 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 15.63 | $0.320 | $1.48 | -$3.52 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.130 | $1.48 | -$3.52 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 76.92 | $0.130 | $1.31 | -$8.69 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.150 | $1.3 | -$1.7 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 30 | $0.133 | $0.92 | -$3.08 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.200 | $0.78 | -$1.23 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.32K | $0.010 | $0.66 | -$12.61 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $0.39 | -$0.61 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $0.38 | -$0.63 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $0.18 | -$0.82 |
| sell |
| 162.93 |
| $0.013 |
| $2.12 |
| Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 46.15 | $0.065 | $3 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 50.77 | $0.060 | $3.05 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 97.65 | $0.102 | $9.96 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.120 | $4.62 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 27.14 | $0.037 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 10.31 | $0.097 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.023 | $5 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 605 | $0.034 | $20.57 | May 21, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.840 | $8 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
 Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Yes | buy | 11.7 | $0.171 | $2 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.032 | $0.59 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.153 | $0.85 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike one country in March?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.026 | $4 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 4.25 | $0.370 | $1.57 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?Yes | sell | 19.04 | $0.130 | $2.48 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?Yes | buy | 19.05 | $0.210 | $4 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 74.22 | $0.051 | $3.79 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike one country in March?Yes | buy | 51.01 | $0.020 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike no countries in March?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.025 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 74.22 | $0.067 | $5 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 203.33 | $0.015 | $3 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.19 | $0.309 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?Yes | sell | 11.38 | $0.130 | $1.48 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes | sell | 17.9 | $0.190 | $3.4 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Yes | sell | 10.52 | $0.120 | $1.26 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 113.64 | $0.047 | $5.34 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.071 | $7.14 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 113.65 | $0.053 | $6 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | sell | 20.45 | $0.368 | $7.53 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.440 | $4 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.29 | $0.700 | $3 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiNo | buy | 13.95 | $0.430 | $6 | Jan 12, 2026 |