Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 3 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 100 daily closes on record from 3 Mar 2026 to 1 Jul 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 13.5% on 3 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Jun 2026. $767.21K traded over the market's life.
140 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 100 points, 3 Mar 2026 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 13.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Firm-Tailbud | Yes | 4K |
| Fesfouss | Yes | 3.21K |
| jianawangzi | Yes | 1.37K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place. Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution. Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-iran-hold-a-presidential-election-by-june-30
| Rectangular-Apprehension | Yes | 1.02K |
| labistiiia | Yes | 1K |
| norealtime | Yes | 1K |
| Kooky-Entrepreneur | Yes | 1K |
| orlando- | Yes | 968.58 |
| Beautiful-Cluster | No | 810 |
| LingWaiKong | Yes | 734.19 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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