Analytics
Yes is at 3.5%, down 45 points from 49% when the market opened on 1 Jul 2026.
Across the 112 daily closes on record from 1 Jul 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49% on 1 Jul 2026 and the lowest 3.5% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 6.5%; a month before, 7.5%. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 45.5% on 26 Aug 2026.
$299.96 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $12.83K, with a 4.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 20 trades, $3.5 bought Yes and $149.26 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 50 shares; the largest No position is Pantheon1 with 55.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 112 points, 1 Jul 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | 49.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 3.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Pantheon1 | No | 55.29 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 49.62 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 22.11 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place. Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution. Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-iran-hold-a-presidential-election-by-june-30
| bakayo33 - 9934 |
| No |
| 17.71 |
| Royal Harbor 217A | Yes | 14.71 |
| liuruijin | No | 10 |
| cryptobull474 | Yes | 5.6 |
| Jest55 | No | 5 |
| hspje89 | No | 4.71 |
| Tiramia | Yes | 2.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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