Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.929 | $4.65 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 5.18 |
| $0.997 |
| $5.16 |
| Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 7.24 | $0.820 | $5.94 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | sell | 7.46 | $0.910 | $6.79 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 6.94 | $0.996 | $6.91 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 10.41 | $0.890 | $9.26 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?No | sell | 10.2 | $0.940 | $9.59 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 15.29 | $0.969 | $14.82 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | sell | 18.57 | $0.995 | $18.48 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.967 | $5 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.001 | $1.5 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will US Cremonese win on 2025-10-20?Yes | buy | 4.92 | $0.610 | $3 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.002 | $6 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.078 | $1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.940 | $18.8 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $3,600 on July 25?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Syria on July 23?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.961 | $5 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?No | buy | 35.09 | $0.057 | $2 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Roger W. Ferguson Jr. as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.001 | $2.5 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Roger W. Ferguson Jr. as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.010 | $50 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 8K | $0.011 | $88 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 22?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?No | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be greater than $175 on July 23?Yes | buy | 15.33 | $0.979 | $15 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Solana above $180 on July 25?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyNo | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.03 | $0.711 | $5 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3500 on July 25?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.95K | $0.006 | $11.7 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will 'NINJA KAMUI' win Crunchyroll's Best Original Anime Award for 2025?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $3.50 in May?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.974 | $2 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 16–23?Yes | buy | 17.33 | $0.058 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
 NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)Thunder | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Apr 15, 2025 |