Latest trade
Jan 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 6:42 PM UTC.
Mountainous-Sycamore is down $41.61 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-04-29 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jan 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 6:42 PM UTC.
$7.78 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 30 markets; 58.0% were buys. They run from Sep 4, 2025 UTC to Jan 19, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.2 | $0.860 | $6.19 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-04-29 21:45 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 18:42 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 18:42 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-04-29 21:45 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $8.39 and losing ones cost $49.99 across the latest 50 settled positions. 52% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.44 on “Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?” (No); the largest loss, $13.61 on “Trump wins every swing state?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 19 Jan 2026. It has traded 50 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 24.81 |
| $0.250 |
| $6.2 |
| Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 8.89 | $0.870 | $7.73 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 8.34 | $0.999 | $8.33 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?Yes | sell | 47.4 | $0.163 | $7.73 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 12.01 | $0.730 | $8.77 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.98 | $0.920 | $9.18 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.21 | $0.870 | $6.27 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No | buy | 24.81 | $0.252 | $6.26 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?Yes | buy | 47.4 | $0.200 | $9.48 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.930 | $9.29 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 8.89 | $0.940 | $8.36 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.964 | $6.15 | Jan 5, 2026 UTC |
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 8.35 | $0.937 | $7.82 | Jan 5, 2026 UTC |
Will Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 21.54 | $0.357 | $7.7 | Jan 5, 2026 UTC |
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.85 | $0.550 | $6.52 | Jan 5, 2026 UTC |
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12.02 | $0.610 | $7.33 | Jan 5, 2026 UTC |
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?No | sell | 5.85 | $0.921 | $5.39 | Jan 4, 2026 UTC |
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?No | sell | 5.91 | $0.901 | $5.32 | Jan 4, 2026 UTC |
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 52.14 | $0.166 | $8.68 | Jan 4, 2026 UTC |
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | sell | 20.23 | $0.375 | $7.59 | Dec 31, 2025 UTC |
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | sell | 11.68 | $0.710 | $8.29 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
Will Netanyahu be pardoned in 2025?No | buy | 8.42 | $0.988 | $8.32 | Dec 27, 2025 UTC |
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.970 | $5.58 | Dec 27, 2025 UTC |
IDF Chief Eyal Zamir out by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.992 | $8.86 | Dec 27, 2025 UTC |
Will Israel strike Iraq by December 31?No | buy | 8.24 | $0.992 | $8.18 | Dec 27, 2025 UTC |
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 52.14 | $0.157 | $8.2 | Dec 27, 2025 UTC |
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?No | buy | 5.85 | $0.950 | $5.56 | Dec 23, 2025 UTC |
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?No | buy | 5.91 | $0.940 | $5.56 | Dec 23, 2025 UTC |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 8.72 | $0.850 | $7.41 | Dec 23, 2025 UTC |
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | sell | 53 | $0.070 | $3.71 | Dec 23, 2025 UTC |
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.110 | $5.83 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | sell | 30.65 | $0.190 | $5.82 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.73 | $0.770 | $6.72 | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | buy | 20.24 | $0.460 | $9.31 | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | buy | 11.68 | $0.730 | $8.53 | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 8.57 | $0.900 | $7.71 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 30.65 | $0.230 | $7.05 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 52.97 | $0.172 | $9.11 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 10.2 | $0.994 | $10.14 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No | sell | 26.09 | $0.980 | $25.57 | Nov 4, 2025 UTC |
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No | buy | 26.1 | $0.976 | $25.47 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 8.67 | $0.920 | $7.98 | Oct 3, 2025 UTC |
Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 30?No | sell | 9 | $0.995 | $8.96 | Sep 30, 2025 UTC |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?No | sell | 8.67 | $0.985 | $8.54 | Sep 30, 2025 UTC |
Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 30?No | buy | 9 | $0.980 | $8.82 | Sep 28, 2025 UTC |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.940 | $9.59 | Sep 28, 2025 UTC |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?No | buy | 8.68 | $0.976 | $8.47 | Sep 28, 2025 UTC |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 8.67 | $0.890 | $7.72 | Sep 28, 2025 UTC |
Fed rate cut in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.12 | $0.970 | $2.06 | Sep 4, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.