Will Netanyahu be pardoned in 2025?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$127.5K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 13 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 51 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 14.7% on 2 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.2 points down, to 6.5% on 3 Dec 2025. $127.48K traded over the market's life.

79 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 13 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–20%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
13 Nov 2025	8.5%
1 Jan 2026	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
SandroMel4L	Yes	7.16K
00000000AAAAAAAA	Yes	2K
Ssss112	Yes	1.94K
Kindly-Rutabaga	Yes	914.07

10 of 79 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Donald Trump recently wrote a letter to Israeli President Isaac Herzog asking Herzog to Pardon Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/trump-asked-israeli-president-pardon-netanyahu-israeli-presidents-office-says-2025-11-12/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.