Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 186.82 | $0.456 | $19.62 | -$65.63 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 11.18K | $0.990 | $11.07K | May 9, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 200 |
| $0.189 |
| $15 |
| -$22.9 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? | Yes | 1.18K | $0.299 | $13.52 | -$338.04 |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.410 | $0.27 | -$1.78 |
| buy |
| 102.86 |
| $0.160 |
| $16.49 |
| Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will RFK end Hepatitis B vaccine recommendation in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.12K | $0.115 | $358.23 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 96 | $0.349 | $33.47 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 136 | $0.330 | $44.93 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 458.5 | $0.326 | $149.38 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?Yes | buy | 626.61 | $0.296 | $185.26 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.249 | $303.16 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?Yes | buy | 450.83 | $0.321 | $144.65 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Comcast acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?Yes | sell | 262.54 | $0.024 | $6.35 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Netflix acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?Yes | buy | 62.42 | $0.507 | $31.62 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Netflix acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?Yes | buy | 132.85 | $0.495 | $65.77 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Netflix acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.499 | $29.94 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?Yes | buy | 119.98 | $0.528 | $63.39 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?Yes | sell | 2.72K | $0.065 | $175.28 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.158 | $78.95 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.167 | $83.5 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 480 | $0.157 | $75.36 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 645 | $0.808 | $521.45 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.790 | $47.4 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.800 | $800 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 352.12 | $0.034 | $12.02 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 181 | $0.222 | $40.12 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.13K | $0.226 | $481.57 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.540 | $1.08K | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 404 | $0.433 | $175.12 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes | buy | 148 | $0.690 | $102.12 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes | buy | 664.94 | $0.679 | $451.76 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 352.12 | $0.679 | $239.14 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 830.66 | $0.750 | $622.69 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Netflix acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?Yes | buy | 135.75 | $0.232 | $31.55 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Netanyahu be pardoned in 2025?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.200 | $50 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 US strikes Yemen by December 31?Yes | buy | 68.04 | $0.211 | $14.33 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| US strikes Yemen by December 31?Yes | buy | 46.65 | $0.200 | $9.33 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 402.42 | $0.488 | $196.29 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.580 | $1.16K | Nov 29, 2025 |
| U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?Yes | buy | 181.57 | $0.568 | $103.13 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 India x Pakistan military clash by November 30?Yes | buy | 2.19K | $0.022 | $48.56 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes | buy | 36.91 | $0.810 | $29.9 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes | buy | 52.5 | $0.789 | $41.4 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 29?Yes | buy | 14.97 | $0.510 | $7.63 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 29?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.485 | $20.38 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?Yes | sell | 73.97 | $0.988 | $73.08 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.360 | $720 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 2K | $0.860 | $1.72K | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.954 | $1.14K | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.12K | $0.955 | $1.07K | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?Yes | sell | 99.12 | $0.961 | $95.29 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?Yes | sell | 228 | $0.951 | $216.8 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?Yes | sell | 63 | $0.952 | $59.95 | Nov 29, 2025 |