Latest trade
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 1:38 AM UTC.
braindance is down $7.98 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 1:38 AM UTC.
$8.2 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 40 markets; 58.0% were buys. They run from Oct 21, 2026 UTC to Oct 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? | No | 80 | $0.770 | $71.2 | +$9.6 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 69 | $0.680 | $46.92 | 2h ago |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 15:22 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-26 01:38 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 01:38 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 15:22 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $452.25 and losing ones cost $600.3 across the latest 50 settled positions. 56% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $28.99 on “Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?” (No); the largest loss, $73.27 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET” (Down).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Oct 2026. It has traded 672 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.1K across 71 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 60 |
| $0.810 |
| $55.2 |
| +$6.6 |
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | No | 70.41 | $0.626 | $54.04 | +$9.94 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 67.02 | $0.640 | $50.94 | +$8.04 |
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 69 | $0.680 | $43.13 | -$3.8 |
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | No | 50 | $0.760 | $42 | +$4 |
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? | No | 80 | $0.310 | $41.2 | +$16.4 |
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.660 | $36.8 | +$10.4 |
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 57 | $0.650 | $36.77 | -$0.29 |
Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 19? | Yes | 30 | $0.313 | $29.73 | +$20.33 |
Will Verizon (VZ) Q3 total operating revenue be above $34.5B? | No | 46 | $0.760 | $28.75 | -$6.21 |
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Cloud revenue be above $62B? | Yes | 38 | $0.685 | $28.5 | +$2.46 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 Data Center revenue be above $100B? | Yes | 33 | $0.790 | $26.4 | +$0.33 |
Next DeepSeek Flash released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.460 | $26.2 | +$7.8 |
Will Seagate (STX) Q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 250? | No | 34 | $0.730 | $25.5 | +$0.68 |
Will ExxonMobil (XOM) Q3 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.6M? | No | 40 | $0.670 | $24.6 | -$2.2 |
Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $48B? | No | 30.26 | $0.720 | $23.6 | +$1.8 |
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | No | 30 | $0.530 | $22.05 | +$6.15 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.620 | $19.95 | +$1.35 |
Will Tesla deliver 575000 or more vehicles in Q4 2026 | No | 21.99 | $0.860 | $19.68 | +$0.77 |
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q4 2026 | No | 20 | $0.840 | $17.5 | +$0.7 |
Will Intel (INTC) Q3 Foundry revenue be above $7.5B? | No | 20 | $0.840 | $16.7 | -$0.1 |
Will AbbVie Q3 Global Rinvoq net revenues be above $2.6B? | Yes | 20 | $0.610 | $16.1 | +$3.9 |
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 30 | $0.570 | $15.9 | -$1.2 |
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | No | 18.6 | $0.680 | $15.81 | +$3.16 |
| buy |
| 67.02 |
| $0.640 |
| $42.89 |
| 2h ago |
Will Capital One Mobile be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?Yes | sell | 13.24 | $0.300 | $3.97 | 1d ago |
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 60 | $0.480 | $28.8 | 1d ago |
Will Tesla deliver 575000 or more vehicles in Q4 2026No | buy | 21.99 | $0.860 | $18.91 | 1d ago |
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q4 2026No | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | 1d ago |
Will Google have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 48.72 | $0.002 | $0.1 | 1d ago |
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.003 | $0.12 | 1d ago |
Will OpenRouter process between 625T and 675T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | 1d ago |
Next DeepSeek Flash released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.460 | $18.4 | 1d ago |
Will OpenRouter process 195T or more tokens the week of October 19?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.075 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 35% or higher?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.180 | $6.12 | 1d ago |
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 20% or higher?No | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | 1d ago |
Will Capital One Mobile be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | 1d ago |
Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPad revenue be above $6.5B?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | 2d ago |
Will ExxonMobil (XOM) Q3 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.5M?No | buy | 34 | $0.540 | $18.36 | 2d ago |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?Yes | buy | 29.81 | $0.127 | $3.77 | 2d ago |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?No | buy | 50 | $0.760 | $38 | 2d ago |
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.38 | $0.570 | $12.76 | 2d ago |
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.62 | $0.570 | $4.34 | 2d ago |
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.342 | $13.68 | 2d ago |
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.6 | $0.100 | $1.36 | 2d ago |
Will Tesla deliver 575000 or more vehicles in Q4 2026No | sell | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | 2d ago |
| Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?No | sell | 40 | $0.900 | $36 | 2d ago |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.210 | $14.7 | 2d ago |
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?No | buy | 30 | $0.210 | $6.3 | 2d ago |
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?No | buy | 50 | $0.110 | $5.5 | 2d ago |
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.650 | $37.05 | 2d ago |
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | 2d ago |
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 130 | $0.310 | $40.3 | 2d ago |
ChatGPT Outage by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.420 | $12.6 | 2d ago |
Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 3d ago |
Will Hyatt Hotels (H) Q3 system-wide hotels RevPAR be above $146?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | 3d ago |
Will Hyatt Hotels (H) Q3 system-wide hotels RevPAR be above $146?Yes | sell | 19.99 | $0.950 | $18.99 | 3d ago |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.330 | $23.1 | 3d ago |
Will Verizon (VZ) Q3 total operating revenue be above $34.5B?No | buy | 46 | $0.760 | $34.96 | 3d ago |
Will Cboe (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | 3d ago |
Will Cboe (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.590 | $6.02 | 3d ago |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.600 | $18 | 3d ago |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.420 | $16.8 | 3d ago |
Will OpenRouter process 195T or more tokens the week of October 19?Yes | buy | 23.7 | $0.120 | $2.84 | 3d ago |
Will OpenRouter process between 175T and 185T tokens the week of October 19?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.426 | $8.52 | 3d ago |
Will OpenRouter process less than 165T tokens the week of October 19?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.011 | $0.44 | 3d ago |
Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Yes | sell | 29.99 | $0.022 | $0.66 | 3d ago |
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on November 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.105 | $2.1 | 3d ago |
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | 3d ago |
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 40.42 | $0.602 | $24.33 | 3d ago |
Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | 3d ago |
Will OpenRouter process between 175T and 185T tokens the week of October 19?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.376 | $7.52 | 4d ago |
Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 19?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | 4d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.