Analytics
Yes is at 0.7%, down 30 points from 30.5% when the market opened on 1 Oct 2026.
Across the 27 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 46% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 29%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 28.5% on 5 Oct 2026.
85mm+ ranks second of the 7 outcomes in “Precipitation in Seoul in October?”. 70-85mm leads at 95.8%; 30-40mm is at 0.5%.
$11.57K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.03K, with a 0.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 230 trades, $934.78 bought Yes and $2.86K bought No.
The largest Yes position is sakelpuntas with 511 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.7K. Ten wallets hold 84.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Jan 2027, 70 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 1 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | 30.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.68K |
| sakelpuntas | Yes | 511.08 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 494.8 |
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in October, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of October at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of October 2026. If the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-seoul-in-october-20260925t160000000z
| youtube-trader | Yes | 160.39 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 103.83 |
| cigarettes | No | 100 |
| opopv3 | Yes | 93.55 |
| crossFiter | Yes | 91 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 80 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 71.43 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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