Analytics
Yes is at 95.8%, up 80 points from 15.5% when the market opened on 1 Oct 2026.
Across the 26 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 95.8% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 5% on 3 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 71.8%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 84.7% on 24 Oct 2026.
70-85mm is the favourite of the 7 outcomes in “Precipitation in Seoul in October?”, ahead of 85mm+ at 0.7%.
$45.09 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $10K since listing. The order book holds $1.08K, with a 7.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 207 trades, $2.78K bought Yes and $1.18K bought No.
The largest Yes position is FrogCharts with 2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.7K. Ten wallets hold 85.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Jan 2027, 70 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 1 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | 15.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 95.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FrogCharts | Yes | 1.98K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.68K |
| Funiculi | Yes | 523.96 |
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in October, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of October at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of October 2026. If the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-seoul-in-october-20260925t160000000z
| sakelpuntas |
| No |
| 383.52 |
| Corny-Hyphenation | Yes | 270.28 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 233.46 |
| youtube-trader | No | 107 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 102.04 |
| cigarettes | No | 100 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No | 82.74 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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