Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 3.57K | $0.699 | $2.62K | +$128.89 |
 Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 112 | $0.730 | $81.76 | 2h ago |
|
| No |
| 1.63K |
| $0.855 |
| $1.6K |
| +$212.27 |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers? | No | 858.78 | $0.950 | $851.05 | +$34.86 |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers? | Yes | 669.21 | $0.839 | $623.37 | +$61.63 |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | No | 579 | $0.979 | $567.42 | +$0.53 |
 Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? | No | 993.85 | $0.337 | $332.94 | -$2.17 |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? | Yes | 1.12K | $0.260 | $302.08 | +$11.56 |
| Will September 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? | No | 333.3 | $0.759 | $301.64 | +$48.57 |
| Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record? | Yes | 255.03 | $0.981 | $250.82 | +$0.59 |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be at least 5m square kilometers? | No | 245.31 | $0.984 | $244.45 | +$3.08 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 940.88 | $0.220 | $230.52 | +$23.82 |
| Will September 2026 be the 4th or lower on record? | No | 250 | $0.928 | $228.5 | -$3.5 |
 Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 100 mph? | Yes | 210.65 | $0.976 | $207.7 | +$2.11 |
| Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)? | Yes | 180.79 | $0.906 | $165.06 | +$1.19 |
 Will global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in September 2026? | No | 45 | $0.960 | $32.4 | -$10.8 |
| Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 105 mph? | No | 33.62 | $0.550 | $21.18 | +$2.69 |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25? | Yes | 491.78 | $0.036 | $17.95 | +$0.41 |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers? | Yes | 128.28 | $0.352 | $3.98 | -$41.22 |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0? | Yes | 341.7 | $0.008 | $2.05 | -$0.55 |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.8m & 5m square kilometers? | Yes | 2.4 | $0.036 | $0.02 | -$0.07 |
| buy |
| 82.66 |
| $0.940 |
| $77.7 |
| 4h ago |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?Yes | buy | 219.48 | $0.934 | $205.04 | 4h ago |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 211.17 | $0.240 | $50.68 | 5h ago |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in September 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.960 | $19.2 | 9h ago |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?Yes | buy | 77.75 | $0.916 | $71.19 | 1d ago |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?No | buy | 45 | $0.980 | $44.1 | 1d ago |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?No | buy | 534 | $0.979 | $522.79 | 1d ago |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 224.77 | $0.750 | $168.58 | 1d ago |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?Yes | sell | 498 | $0.290 | $144.42 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 100 mph?Yes | buy | 210.65 | $0.976 | $205.59 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 100 mph?No | sell | 49.34 | $0.027 | $1.33 | 1d ago |
| Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?Yes | buy | 59.99 | $0.912 | $54.69 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 100 mph?No | sell | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 100 mph?No | sell | 30 | $0.002 | $0.06 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 100 mph?No | sell | 6.66 | $0.003 | $0.02 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 100 mph?No | sell | 8 | $0.010 | $0.08 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 100 mph?No | sell | 57 | $0.014 | $0.81 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 105 mph?No | buy | 33.62 | $0.550 | $18.49 | 1d ago |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?No | sell | 544.62 | $0.351 | $191.12 | 1d ago |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?No | sell | 43.02 | $0.370 | $15.92 | 1d ago |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.330 | $33 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 100 mph?No | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 100 mph?No | buy | 151 | $0.060 | $9.06 | 1d ago |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in September 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.960 | $24 | 1d ago |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?Yes | sell | 53 | $0.390 | $20.67 | 2d ago |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?Yes | sell | 98.18 | $0.386 | $37.9 | 2d ago |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?Yes | sell | 129.3 | $0.400 | $51.72 | 2d ago |
| Will August 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?No | buy | 35 | $0.998 | $34.93 | 2d ago |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.900 | $68.4 | 2d ago |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?Yes | buy | 25.4 | $0.895 | $22.73 | 2d ago |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?No | buy | 243.99 | $0.420 | $102.48 | 2d ago |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 77.58 | $0.760 | $58.96 | 2d ago |
| Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?Yes | buy | 69.39 | $0.980 | $68 | 2d ago |
| Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.979 | $44.06 | 2d ago |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?Yes | buy | 484.1 | $0.300 | $145.23 | 3d ago |
| Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.907 | $18.14 | 3d ago |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?Yes | buy | 30.7 | $0.783 | $24.03 | 3d ago |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25?Yes | sell | 19.97 | $0.081 | $1.62 | 3d ago |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0?Yes | sell | 20.1 | $0.018 | $0.36 | 3d ago |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0?Yes | sell | 20.1 | $0.020 | $0.4 | 3d ago |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?No | buy | 50 | $0.976 | $48.79 | 3d ago |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?No | sell | 22.51 | $0.440 | $9.9 | 3d ago |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?No | sell | 10.9 | $0.520 | $5.67 | 3d ago |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?No | sell | 40 | $0.450 | $18 | 3d ago |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?No | sell | 40 | $0.460 | $18.4 | 3d ago |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?No | sell | 47.45 | $0.470 | $22.3 | 3d ago |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?No | sell | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | 3d ago |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?No | sell | 100 | $0.410 | $41 | 3d ago |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?No | buy | 40 | $0.973 | $38.92 | 3d ago |