Analytics
Yes is at 18.8%, down 26 points from 44.5% when the market opened on 13 Aug 2026.
Across the 75 daily closes on record from 13 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 44.5% on 13 Aug 2026 and the lowest 3.1% on 8 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 18.2%; a month before, 8%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 25.5% on 15 Aug 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “Turner Prize 2026 Winner”.
$9.99K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.06K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 151 trades, $596.8 bought Yes and $1.77K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Reckless-Estrogen-Competence with 759 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.1K. Ten wallets hold 92.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 75 points, 13 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026 | 44.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 18.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.07K |
| Reckless-Estrogen-Competence | Yes | 758.58 |
| EsperanzasDESTROYER | Yes | 466.99 |
The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026. If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/turner-prize-2026-winner-1786472350956
| sunnynotbunny | Yes | 249.99 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 229.96 |
| 0xdc3E831cad | No | 198.63 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 103.2 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 100.2 |
| Zesty-Utensil | Yes | 100 |
| Rr55 | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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