Analytics
Yes is at 66.5%, up 32 points from 35% when the market opened on 24 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 66.5% on 26 Oct 2026 and the lowest 35% on 24 Oct 2026.
December 31 is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?”, ahead of November 30 at 25.5%.
$97.65 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.16K since listing. The order book holds $210.05, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 27 trades, $252.77 bought Yes and $131.25 bought No.
The largest Yes position is molodoyy with 413 shares; the largest No position is AJSV with 233.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 67 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 6:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 24 Oct 2026 – 26 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | 35.0% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | 66.5% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if DeepSeek's next Flash model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be part of DeepSeek's core model series (currently the V-series), have a name or model identifier that includes "DeepSeek" and "Flash," and be a new model release designated as newer than DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-1017, regardless of capitalization or naming convention, including subsequently dated builds, decimal version increases, or new generations. For example, a later dated build named in the same manner as DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-1017, a decimal increase such as DeepSeek-V4.2-Flash, or a new generation such as DeepSeek-V5-Flash would qualify, while side or specialized models, such as Janus-Pro, DeepSeek-OCR, or DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Vision-Exp, Pro-tier models such as DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813 or DeepSeek-V4.1-Pro, and the existing DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-1017 (released October 17, 2026), including any open-weight re-release, snapshot, or re-pointing of the deepseek-flash API alias to it, will not qualify. A qualifying release must carry a new, distinct model name or date designation, even if it is served through an unchanged API alias such as deepseek-flash; updates published without a new model name or date designation will not qualify. If DeepSeek releases a single unified successor without tier naming, it will qualify if it replaces or serves DeepSeek's lite or Flash endpoint or is positioned as DeepSeek's fast, low-cost model. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-deepseek-flash-released-byptptpt-20261021-02
| Nostrafakus |
| Yes |
| 60 |
| braindance | Yes | 40 |
| JsonStatham | No | 40 |
| predictdogepepewif | No | 40 |
| robert-mukhametov | Yes | 20 |
| UpTheStairs | No | 20 |
| Empty-Annual | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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