Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.640 | $25.4 | -$0.2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.008 | $0.42 | 13m ago |
|
| No |
| 29.92 |
| $0.390 |
| $15.11 |
| +$3.44 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | Yes | 40 | $0.210 | $7.6 | -$0.8 |
 Will JD Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 17 | $0.180 | $5.36 | +$2.3 |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? | Yes | 20 | $0.300 | $5.2 | -$0.8 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.160 | $4.65 | -$0.15 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.200 | $3.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.160 | $3 | -$3.4 |
 Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.190 | $3 | -$2.7 |
 Will Elon post "Sam" or "Altman" on X this week? | Yes | 11 | $0.370 | $2.86 | -$1.21 |
 Cambria listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE? | Yes | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | $0 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 29.99 | $0.037 | $2.5 | +$1.39 |
 Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | Yes | 33 | $0.060 | $2.15 | +$0.17 |
 Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.021 | $2.07 | +$0.81 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1.91 | +$0.91 |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $1.4 | +$0.4 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1? | Yes | 100 | $0.019 | $1.35 | -$0.55 |
 Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 48.8 | $0.016 | $1.32 | +$0.54 |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026? | No | 11.99 | $0.390 | $1.26 | -$3.42 |
| Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | Yes | 16 | $0.066 | $0.74 | -$0.31 |
| Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 110 | $0.009 | $0.72 | -$0.27 |
| Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 110 | $0.009 | $0.72 | -$0.27 |
 Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30? | Yes | 20 | $0.062 | $0.29 | -$0.95 |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $462,000 and $470,000 on September 30? | Yes | 29.3 | $0.036 | $0.13 | -$0.92 |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $454,000 and $462,000 on September 30? | Yes | 2.7 | $0.040 | $0.03 | -$0.08 |
| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.210 |
| $8.4 |
| 14m ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | 58m ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.019 | $1.9 | 1h ago |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 28.9 | $0.020 | $0.58 | 4h ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | 4h ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.640 | $25.6 | 4h ago |
 Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | 4h ago |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 67 and 68 million views on day 4?Yes | buy | 8.26 | $0.190 | $1.57 | 21h ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | 22h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.066 | $1.06 | 1d ago |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.021 | $1.26 | 1d ago |
 Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 27.94 | $0.290 | $8.1 | 1d ago |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get at least 62 million views on day 3?Yes | buy | 27.23 | $0.100 | $2.72 | 1d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.300 | $7.8 | 1d ago |
 Will John Ternus say "Steve Jobs" during his Apple Keynote?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.320 | $8 | 2d ago |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 56 and 57 million views on day 3?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.070 | $3.5 | 2d ago |
 Will White House post 200+ posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | 2d ago |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | 2d ago |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.080 | $0.6 | 2d ago |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.94 | $0.170 | $4.75 | 2d ago |
 Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.650 | $19.5 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon post "Sam" or "Altman" on X this week?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.370 | $4.07 | 3d ago |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.83 | $0.308 | $2.41 | 3d ago |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 32.17 | $0.341 | $10.97 | 3d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.500 | $13 | 3d ago |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.620 | $18.6 | 3d ago |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | sell | 4.45 | $0.420 | $1.87 | 3d ago |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | 3d ago |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.99 | $0.320 | $6.4 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 9, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | 4d ago |
 Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | 4d ago |
| Will John Ternus say "Steve Jobs" during his Apple Keynote?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.240 | $6 | 4d ago |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | 4d ago |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | 4d ago |
| Will White House post 140-159 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.004 | $0.08 | 4d ago |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.166 | $6.64 | 4d ago |
| Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | 4d ago |
| Will JD Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.180 | $3.06 | 5d ago |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | sell | 29.99 | $0.200 | $6 | 5d ago |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.801 | $8.01 | 5d ago |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | 5d ago |
 Will Utah have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.130 | $3.9 | 5d ago |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | 7d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.470 | $14.1 | 7d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.960 | $17.28 | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?No | sell | 22.44 | $0.500 | $11.22 | 8d ago |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | 8d ago |