Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June?No | buy | 35.05 | $0.856 | $30 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 45.1 |
| $0.510 |
| $23 |
| Mar 18, 2025 |
 Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.420 | $21 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.120 | $6.67 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.120 | $7.5 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.870 | $30 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.840 | $30 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?Yes | buy | 24.69 | $0.810 | $20 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during January press conference?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "cut" 7 or more times during January press conference?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during January press conference?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Powell say "price" 15 or more times during January press conference?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 18.73 | $0.534 | $10 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes | sell | 20.4 | $0.470 | $9.59 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 21.53 | $0.929 | $20 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 27.4 | $0.730 | $20 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Powell say "tariff" during January press conference?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Powell say "immigrant" or "immigration" during January press conference?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Powell say "cut" 7 or more times during January press conference?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Powell say "growth" 8 or more times during January press conference?Yes | buy | 18.09 | $0.553 | $10 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during January press conference?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Powell say "tariff" during January press conference?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 US inauguration on January 20?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| US inauguration on January 20?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.960 | $20 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.047 | $5 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will Javier Milei attend presidential inauguration?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk attend presidential inauguration?Yes | buy | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will Rudy Giuliani attend presidential inauguration?Yes | buy | 27.3 | $0.366 | $10 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will George W. Bush attend presidential inauguration?Yes | buy | 16.3 | $0.920 | $15 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will Hillary Clinton attend presidential inauguration?Yes | buy | 28.41 | $0.880 | $25 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will Bill Clinton attend presidential inauguration?Yes | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama attend presidential inauguration?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will Barack Obama attend presidential inauguration?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Dec 23, 2024 |