Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 85%. Yes opened at 72% on 20 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 85% on 29 Jan 2025 and the low 71.5% on 21 Dec 2024. $27.6K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 30, 10:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 20 Dec 2024 – 29 Jan 2025, chart shows 65%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2024 | 72.0% |
| 29 Jan 2025 | 85.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| anon618 | No | 100 |
| arbitrageesus | No | 95.24 |
| Lolpo91 | No | 25 |
| eskelly20 | Yes | 23.81 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "tariff" during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "tariff" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a tax or duty imposed by a government on imported goods. If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-powell-say-during-january-press-conference
| Garay | No | 1.15 |
| Bramati | Yes | 0.68 |
| Cobalt Harbor 0E10 | Yes | 0.05 |
| Bertapotamous | Yes | 0.02 |
| badatthis | No | 0.01 |
| nikola00 | Yes | 0.01 |
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