Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 115.75 | $0.180 | $20.84 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 78 |
| $0.500 |
| $39 |
| Jan 15, 2025 |
| Will Biden say "malarkey" during farewell address?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "tariff" during January press conference?No | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during January press conference?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "immigrant" or "immigration" during January press conference?No | buy | 85.87 | $0.582 | $50 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during January press conference?No | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during January press conference?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.280 | $20 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 29.44 | $0.340 | $10.01 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 29.38 | $0.340 | $9.99 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 11.29 | $0.140 | $1.58 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 78.13 | $0.064 | $5 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Holland vs. de RidderHolland | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Dariush vs. MoicanoDariush | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Prochazka vs. HillProchazka | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Dvalishvili vs. NurmagomedovDvalishvili | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Makhachev vs. TsarukyanTsarukyan | buy | 20.89 | $0.239 | $5 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.6K | $0.024 | $38.25 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.67K | $0.002 | $3.33 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will Mike Waltz be Trump's Defense Secretary?Yes | buy | 129.27 | $0.042 | $5.42 | Jan 14, 2025 |
 Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?No | sell | 41.66 | $0.110 | $4.58 | Jan 14, 2025 |
| Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jan 14, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | Jan 14, 2025 |
| Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Jan 14, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Jan 14, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.037 | $59 | Jan 14, 2025 |