Latest trade
Mar 18, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 8:42 PM UTC.
Analytics
arbitrageesus is down $69.82 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 5 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-04-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Mar 18, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 8:42 PM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 32 trades covered 25 markets; 81.3% were buys. They run from Jan 14, 2025 UTC to Mar 18, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 29.44 | $0.470 | $13.84 | Mar 18, 2025 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-04-24 00:57 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 20:42 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
32 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 20:42 UTC
polymarket positions
7 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-04-24 00:57 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $7.65 and losing ones cost $22.83 across 5 settled positions. 40% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $7.65 on “Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?” (Yes); the largest loss, $20.75 on “Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 18 Mar 2025. It has traded 25 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 29.38 |
| $0.470 |
| $13.81 |
| Mar 18, 2025 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 115.75 | $0.180 | $20.84 | Jan 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Biden say "hope" 3 or more times during farewell address?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.500 | $39 | Jan 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Biden say "malarkey" during farewell address?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Jan 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Powell say "tariff" during January press conference?No | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Jan 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Jan 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during January press conference?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jan 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Powell say "immigrant" or "immigration" during January press conference?No | buy | 85.87 | $0.582 | $50 | Jan 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during January press conference?No | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Jan 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during January press conference?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.280 | $20 | Jan 15, 2025 UTC |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 29.44 | $0.340 | $10.01 | Jan 15, 2025 UTC |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 29.38 | $0.340 | $9.99 | Jan 15, 2025 UTC |
 Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Jan 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Biden" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 11.29 | $0.140 | $1.58 | Jan 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Jan 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Jan 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 78.13 | $0.064 | $5 | Jan 15, 2025 UTC |
 Holland vs. de RidderHolland | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jan 15, 2025 UTC |
| Dariush vs. MoicanoDariush | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Jan 15, 2025 UTC |
| Prochazka vs. HillProchazka | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jan 15, 2025 UTC |
| Dvalishvili vs. NurmagomedovDvalishvili | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Jan 15, 2025 UTC |
| Makhachev vs. TsarukyanTsarukyan | buy | 20.89 | $0.239 | $5 | Jan 15, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.6K | $0.024 | $38.25 | Jan 15, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.67K | $0.002 | $3.33 | Jan 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Mike Waltz be Trump's Defense Secretary?Yes | buy | 129.27 | $0.042 | $5.42 | Jan 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?No | sell | 41.66 | $0.110 | $4.58 | Jan 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jan 14, 2025 UTC |
 Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | Jan 14, 2025 UTC |
| Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Jan 14, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Jan 14, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.037 | $59 | Jan 14, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.