Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Secret Service" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 399.99 | $0.210 | $78 | -$6 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during RNC Convention?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.260 | $10.4 | 2h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 263.84 |
| $0.161 |
| $77.83 |
| +$35.23 |
| Will Trump say "Democrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumbocrat" 25+ times during RNC Convention? | Yes | 649.47 | $0.188 | $74.69 | -$47.72 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.023 | $58.75 | +$1.25 |
| Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 89.16 | $0.540 | $58.4 | +$10.25 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 226.28 | $0.328 | $57.7 | -$16.53 |
| Will Trump say "Ass" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 347.29 | $0.147 | $57.3 | +$6.05 |
| Will Trump say "Vegan" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 313.8 | $0.236 | $56.48 | -$17.59 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 1.5K | $0.036 | $51.75 | -$2.25 |
| Will Trump say "Autism" during RNC Convention (Night 1)? | Yes | 350 | $0.126 | $50.75 | +$6.75 |
| Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 207 | $0.230 | $49.68 | +$2.07 |
| Will Trump say "Endorse" or "Endorsed" or "Endorsement" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 118.57 | $0.620 | $48.61 | -$24.9 |
| Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 140 | $0.520 | $46.9 | -$25.9 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 1.3K | $0.049 | $38.35 | -$25.35 |
| Will Trump say "Gay" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 300 | $0.190 | $37.5 | -$19.5 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during RNC Convention? | Yes | 202.08 | $0.289 | $37.38 | -$20.97 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" or "Bitcoin" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 794.81 | $0.030 | $35.37 | +$11.52 |
| Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 50.01 | $0.610 | $34.51 | +$4 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 315.25 | $0.110 | $33.1 | -$1.58 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? | Yes | 150.01 | $0.190 | $33 | +$4.5 |
| Will Trump say "No Tax on Tips" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 50 | $0.570 | $32 | +$3.5 |
 Will JD Vance say "Free Speech" or "Freedom of Speech" during RNC Convention? | No | 43.06 | $0.700 | $30.57 | +$0.43 |
| Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 75.7 | $0.580 | $30.28 | -$13.63 |
| Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 52 | $0.549 | $27.82 | -$0.72 |
| Will Trump say "Rigged Election" during RNC Convention (Night 1)? | Yes | 100 | $0.260 | $24 | -$2 |
| buy |
| 41.97 |
| $0.070 |
| $2.94 |
| 4h ago |
| Will Trump say "Autism" during RNC Convention?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.280 | $11.2 | 4h ago |
| Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?No | sell | 140 | $0.282 | $39.42 | 10h ago |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" or "Bitcoin" during remarks at Steel Across America?No | sell | 1.64 | $0.977 | $1.6 | 1d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No | sell | 16.43 | $0.580 | $9.53 | 1d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.250 | $50 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No | sell | 65 | $0.600 | $39 | 2d ago |
| Will Trump say "Golden Age" during remarks at Steel Across America?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.260 | $10.14 | 2d ago |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" or "Bitcoin" during RNC Convention?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 7?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.006 | $0.02 | 3d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 563.63 | $0.010 | $5.64 | 5d ago |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | 6d ago |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?Yes | sell | 499.99 | $0.100 | $50 | 6d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?Yes | buy | 50.51 | $0.033 | $1.65 | 7d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | 7d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.180 | $90 | 7d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.070 | $0.35 | 7d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes | buy | 5.11 | $0.100 | $0.51 | 8d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 276.06 | $0.002 | $0.58 | 8d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.002 | $0.32 | 8d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | sell | 618.87 | $0.001 | $0.62 | 8d ago |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Yes | buy | 166.78 | $0.002 | $0.33 | 8d ago |
 Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | 9d ago |
| Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 676.86 | $0.001 | $0.68 | 9d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 79.97 | $0.011 | $0.88 | 9d ago |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | sell | 70 | $0.500 | $35 | 9d ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | buy | 32.86 | $0.021 | $0.69 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.005 | $10.01 | 10d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?No | buy | 69.56 | $0.013 | $0.9 | 10d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | sell | 277.42 | $0.040 | $11.1 | 10d ago |
 Will Warsh say "Payment System" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.001 | $0.05 | 12d ago |
 Will Trump say "Never Seen Anything" during remarks at NASA?No | sell | 4.34 | $0.999 | $4.34 | 12d ago |
| Will Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks at NASA?Yes | sell | 220.64 | $0.240 | $52.95 | 12d ago |
| Will Trump say "Smart" during remarks at NASA?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.600 | $34.8 | 12d ago |
| Will Trump say "ISS" or "International Space Station" during remarks at NASA?No | sell | 0.91 | $0.550 | $0.5 | 12d ago |
| Will Trump say "Russia" or "Russian" during remarks at NASA?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.650 | $32.49 | 12d ago |
| Will Trump say "Mission" during remarks at NASA?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | 12d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Too Late" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | sell | 206.14 | $0.230 | $47.41 | 12d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | sell | 404.53 | $0.010 | $4.05 | 13d ago |
| Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" during remarks at NASA?Yes | sell | 8.94 | $0.590 | $5.27 | 13d ago |
| Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during remarks at NASA?No | sell | 215.18 | $0.791 | $170.19 | 13d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.007 | $21 | 14d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 750 | $0.060 | $45 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 504.31 | $0.027 | $13.8 | 15d ago |
| Will Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks at NASA?Yes | buy | 104 | $0.286 | $29.76 | 15d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.008 | $0.8 | 17d ago |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 167.05 | $0.003 | $0.5 | 17d ago |
 Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.87 | $0.060 | $0.35 | 18d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22?No | sell | 2.91 | $0.998 | $2.9 | 18d ago |