Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 59.21 | $0.929 | $54.77 | -$0.23 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 52.69 | $0.930 | $49 | 15d ago |
 |
| No |
| 46.98 |
| $0.915 |
| $43.57 |
| +$0.57 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 32.02 | $0.937 | $30.45 | +$0.45 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 22.23 | $0.900 | $21.01 | +$1 |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | No | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10.76 | +$0.76 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 10.71 | $0.934 | $10.3 | +$0.29 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10.16 | +$0.16 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | No | 7.53 | $0.930 | $7.4 | +$0.4 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 6.9 | $0.860 | $6.59 | +$0.66 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 6.36 | $0.915 | $6.08 | +$0.26 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5.77 | +$0.77 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5.15 | +$0.15 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.81 | $0.860 | $4.56 | -$0.44 |
| sell |
| 51.76 |
| $0.910 |
| $47.1 |
| 15d ago |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 3.27 | $0.600 | $1.96 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 6.52 | $0.920 | $6 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 32.02 | $0.937 | $30 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 10.71 | $0.934 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 32.97 | $0.910 | $30 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETDown | sell | 5.55 | $0.470 | $2.61 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETDown | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11PM ETDown | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 New York Mets vs. Seattle MarinersNew York Mets | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksLos Angeles Dodgers | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETUp | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | May 19, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 195.37 | $0.950 | $185.6 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 224.28 | $0.830 | $186.15 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 6.36 | $0.915 | $5.82 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 7.53 | $0.930 | $7 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 8.05 | $0.870 | $7 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETUp | sell | 10.92 | $0.770 | $8.41 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETUp | buy | 10.31 | $0.260 | $2.68 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.19 | $0.730 | $3.06 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 6.9 | $0.860 | $5.93 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 24.92 | $0.840 | $20.93 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 10.17 | $0.920 | $9.36 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?No | buy | 9.36 | $0.998 | $9.34 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?No | buy | 9.34 | $0.999 | $9.33 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No | sell | 9.36 | $0.997 | $9.33 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No | buy | 9.37 | $0.996 | $9.33 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No | buy | 9.33 | $0.998 | $9.31 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 9.88 | $0.940 | $9.29 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 9.89 | $0.890 | $8.8 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 249.21 | $0.820 | $204.35 | Dec 12, 2025 |