Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.01 |
| $0.992 |
| $1 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.04 | $0.835 | $0.87 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.954 | $1 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.934 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $210 in July?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.986 | $2 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.973 | $2 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 3.09 | $0.971 | $3 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.972 | $1.6 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.969 | $3.3 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.988 | $4.94 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.981 | $4.91 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 607.27 | $0.022 | $13.36 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.97K | $0.665 | $1.31K | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.870 | $5.79 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | sell | 24.24 | $0.310 | $7.51 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.95K | $0.664 | $1.3K | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | buy | 24.24 | $0.330 | $8 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.900 | $6 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 30.92 | $0.966 | $29.87 | Oct 12, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 30.93 | $0.970 | $30 | Oct 12, 2024 |