Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.4%. Yes opened at 92.5% on 29 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 223 daily closes on record from 29 Mar 2024 to 6 Nov 2024, the highest close was 98.4% on 6 Nov 2024 and the lowest 89.5% on 30 Mar 2024. $2.67M traded over the market's life.
287 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 1:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 223 points, 29 Mar 2024 – 6 Nov 2024, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2024 | 92.5% |
| 6 Nov 2024 | 98.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 676.9K |
| ABC123ABC | No | 83.32K |
| kakacool | No | 37.94K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in New York in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-york-presidential-election-winner-2024
| Ardi.Sh | No | 26.38K |
| QQQ111 | No | 19.5K |
| betting2win | No | 17.15K |
| Totalmente | No | 13.29K |
| lololol | No | 10K |
| xc360801 | No | 9.93K |
| fuckingretarded | No | 6.33K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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