Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?

cryptoResolved

No, settled Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.1M

Resolved

Settled

Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 15% on 3 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 3 Dec 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 19.5% on 6 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 5.5% on 20 Dec 2025. $2.15M traded over the market's life.

378 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:00 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 3 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–25%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Anr38	Yes	42.8K
brucemsx	Yes	29.02K
xvxvv	Yes	24K
labubull2	Yes	21.81K

10 of 378 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 2, 2025, 15:30 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.