Latest trade
Oct 5, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 2:01 AM UTC.
Analytics
Afraid-Batting has made $15.05 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 43 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 5, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 2:01 AM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 37 markets; 58.0% were buys. They run from Jun 14, 2026 UTC to Oct 5, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.070 | $61.79 | +$51.79 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Macron out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 489.68 | $0.061 | $30 | 20d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-24 22:04 UTC
Polymarket public position response
17 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 02:01 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 02:01 UTC
polymarket positions
44 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-24 22:04 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $524.67 and losing ones cost $123.49 across 43 settled positions. 69.8% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $156.38 on “Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?” (Yes); the largest loss, $20 on “US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 5 Oct 2026. It has traded 98 markets. Its open positions are worth $314.5 across 17 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 211.11 |
| $0.332 |
| $55.94 |
| -$14.06 |
| Macron out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 751.4 | $0.064 | $41.7 | -$6.3 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 127.36 | $0.220 | $26.11 | -$1.89 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 46.93 | $0.426 | $23.3 | +$3.3 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 111.46 | $0.179 | $21.73 | +$1.73 |
 Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31? | Yes | 254.49 | $0.071 | $18.58 | +$0.58 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 666.67 | $0.060 | $15.33 | -$24.67 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 23.26 | $0.430 | $13.84 | +$3.84 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 102.75 | $0.146 | $9.66 | -$5.34 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 148.36 | $0.135 | $8.16 | -$11.84 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 33.11 | $0.302 | $5.15 | -$4.85 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.170 | $4.26 | -$0.74 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.120 | $3.37 | -$6.63 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 128.95 | $0.155 | $3.35 | -$16.65 |
 Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | Yes | 59.88 | $0.083 | $1.83 | -$3.17 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | Yes | 15.38 | $0.065 | $0.38 | -$0.62 |
| buy |
| 35.71 |
| $0.280 |
| $10 |
| 20d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 38.68 | $0.527 | $20.37 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
| Macron out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 261.72 | $0.069 | $18 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
| Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?Yes | buy | 254.49 | $0.071 | $18 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 91.65 | $0.196 | $18 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 46.93 | $0.426 | $20 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 38.68 | $0.576 | $22.28 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 119.63 | $0.940 | $112.45 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 59.95 | $0.417 | $25 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.329 | $19.35 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.060 | $30 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
 Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 59.88 | $0.083 | $5 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.011 | $2 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 5.26 | $0.240 | $1.26 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 7.14 | $0.210 | $1.5 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 61.17 | $0.022 | $1.33 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 52.63 | $0.030 | $1.58 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.210 | $1.91 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 15.15 | $0.122 | $1.85 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 4.22 | $0.490 | $2.07 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 71.42 | $0.029 | $2.09 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 34.24 | $0.156 | $5.34 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 22.78 | $0.840 | $19.14 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 27.17 | $0.378 | $10.27 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?Yes | buy | 977.13 | $0.010 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.38 | $0.985 | $9.24 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 169.49 | $0.059 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 60.24 | $0.166 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?No | buy | 107.99 | $0.185 | $20 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 47.47 | $0.790 | $37.5 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.440 | $0.59 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.920 | $2.87 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 257.14 | $0.070 | $18 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 225 | $0.080 | $18 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.45 | $0.803 | $25.25 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 108.86 | $0.092 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?Yes | buy | 89.74 | $0.056 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | sell | 2.79K | $0.002 | $5.58 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.009 | $11 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 189.87 | $0.790 | $150 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran Play in the World Cup?No | buy | 769.23 | $0.013 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?Yes | buy | 455.06 | $0.022 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.