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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.070 | $50.93 | +$40.93 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Macron out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 261.72 | $0.069 | $18 | 12d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 111.11 |
| $0.360 |
| $30.56 |
| -$9.44 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 38.68 | $0.287 | $22.53 | +$11.43 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 46.93 | $0.426 | $19.59 | -$0.41 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 111.46 | $0.179 | $16.16 | -$3.84 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 666.67 | $0.060 | $15 | -$25 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 91.65 | $0.196 | $13.75 | -$4.25 |
| Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31? | Yes | 254.49 | $0.071 | $13.11 | -$4.89 |
| Macron out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 261.72 | $0.069 | $12.43 | -$5.57 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 23.26 | $0.430 | $11.05 | +$1.05 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 102.75 | $0.146 | $10.07 | -$4.93 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 148.36 | $0.135 | $9.64 | -$10.36 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 128.95 | $0.155 | $8.38 | -$11.62 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 62.5 | $0.160 | $7.81 | -$2.19 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 33.11 | $0.302 | $5.02 | -$4.98 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.170 | $3.97 | -$1.03 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.120 | $3.75 | -$6.25 |
 Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | Yes | 59.88 | $0.083 | $1.2 | -$3.8 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | Yes | 15.38 | $0.065 | $0.48 | -$0.52 |
| buy |
| 254.49 |
| $0.071 |
| $18 |
| 12d ago |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 91.65 | $0.196 | $18 | 12d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | 16d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 46.93 | $0.426 | $20 | 16d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 38.68 | $0.576 | $22.28 | 16d ago |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 119.63 | $0.940 | $112.45 | 16d ago |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 59.95 | $0.417 | $25 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.329 | $19.35 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.060 | $30 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 59.88 | $0.083 | $5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.011 | $2 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 5.26 | $0.240 | $1.26 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 7.14 | $0.210 | $1.5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 61.17 | $0.022 | $1.33 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 52.63 | $0.030 | $1.58 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.210 | $1.91 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 15.15 | $0.122 | $1.85 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 4.22 | $0.490 | $2.07 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 71.42 | $0.029 | $2.09 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 34.24 | $0.156 | $5.34 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 22.78 | $0.840 | $19.14 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 27.17 | $0.378 | $10.27 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?Yes | buy | 977.13 | $0.010 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.38 | $0.985 | $9.24 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 169.49 | $0.059 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 60.24 | $0.166 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?No | buy | 107.99 | $0.185 | $20 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 47.47 | $0.790 | $37.5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.440 | $0.59 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.920 | $2.87 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 257.14 | $0.070 | $18 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 225 | $0.080 | $18 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.45 | $0.803 | $25.25 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 108.86 | $0.092 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?Yes | buy | 89.74 | $0.056 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | sell | 2.79K | $0.002 | $5.58 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.009 | $11 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 189.87 | $0.790 | $150 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Iran Play in the World Cup?No | buy | 769.23 | $0.013 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?Yes | buy | 455.06 | $0.022 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 28.55 | $0.175 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |