Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 84.5% on 28 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 58 daily closes on record from 28 Apr 2026 to 24 Jun 2026, the highest close was 100% on 19 Jun 2026 and the lowest 80% on 6 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 100% on 19 Jun 2026. $2.93M traded over the market's life.
107 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 25, 10:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 58 points, 28 Apr 2026 – 24 Jun 2026, chart shows 75%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Apr 2026 | 84.5% |
| 24 Jun 2026 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Gooooooollllllllll | No | 29.03K |
| Notradecopy | No | 8.28K |
| GamblingAddict12345 | No | 5.42K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-team-to-advance-to-knockout-stages
| No |
| 4.29K |
| sasfafsaget32 | No | 3.5K |
| purplegatto | No | 2.88K |
| Low-Parcel | No | 2.5K |
| Zz40890anz | No | 1.77K |
| AAA1110 | No | 1.66K |
| Azure Scout 61C5 | No | 1.33K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
