Resolved Yes on 15 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 88.1%. Yes opened at 61% on 12 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 12 Jun 2026 to 15 Jun 2026, the highest close was 88.1% on 15 Jun 2026 and the lowest 61% on 12 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 88.1% on 15 Jun 2026. $486.29K traded over the market's life.
98 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 16, 5:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 12 Jun 2026 – 15 Jun 2026, chart shows 50%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | 61.0% |
| 15 Jun 2026 | 88.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hopedieslast | No | 102.47K |
| MonacoLover | No | 43.06K |
| HerrieDavis | No | 7.4K |
| BigDumbDumb | No | 5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-and-iran-sign-an-agreement-byptptpt-20260611221049850
| yuhyuhyuhy352352 | No | 3.32K |
| Astonishing-Burglar | No | 1.6K |
| BikesAreTheBikes | No | 1.57K |
| Moral-Cactus | No | 1K |
| nobtc | No | 607.83 |
| Trumped100000 | No | 603.75 |
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