Latest trade
Jun 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 7:35 PM UTC.
Analytics
Willard5pro is down $7.98 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 7:35 PM UTC.
$23.49 median trade
Its latest 146 trades covered 78 markets; 67.8% were buys. They run from Feb 12, 2025 UTC to Jun 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 0.38 | $0.173 | $0.34 | +$0.27 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 26 | $0.969 | $25.19 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 16:13 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-16 19:35 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
146 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-16 19:35 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-07 00:12 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Essential
Winning positions brought in $6.84 and losing ones cost $14.7 across the latest 50 settled positions. 46% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.82 on “Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $11.33 on “Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?” (Yes).
It first traded on 29 Dec 2024 and most recently on 25 Jun 2026, 113 days ago. It has traded 88 markets. Its open positions are worth $0.34 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 26 |
| $0.980 |
| $25.48 |
| Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.870 | $23.49 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.870 | $23.49 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 28 | $0.914 | $25.59 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 27 | $0.860 | $23.22 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.250 | $0.75 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | sell | 26 | $0.971 | $25.25 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | buy | 26 | $0.959 | $24.93 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | buy | 16 | $0.940 | $15.04 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.810 | $24.3 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.810 | $24.3 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 35 | $0.460 | $16.1 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.784 | $1.57 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 23 | $0.936 | $21.53 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 24 | $0.180 | $4.32 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 18.38 | $0.170 | $3.12 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 24 | $0.937 | $22.49 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.937 | $22.49 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 32 | $0.700 | $22.4 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 32 | $0.700 | $22.4 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 13 | $0.420 | $5.46 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 54 | $0.420 | $22.68 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.200 | $8 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.210 | $8.4 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 4.63 | $0.910 | $4.21 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.510 | $20.91 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.490 | $18.62 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 31 | $0.660 | $20.46 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 4 | $0.975 | $3.9 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.022 | $0.81 | May 31, 2026 UTC |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.973 | $16.54 | May 31, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 4 | $0.966 | $3.86 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 24 | $0.930 | $22.32 | May 29, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 24 | $0.930 | $22.32 | May 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 24 | $0.860 | $20.64 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 24 | $0.870 | $20.88 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.290 | $20.3 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 23 | $0.954 | $21.94 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 23 | $0.953 | $21.92 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.990 | $19.8 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 21 | $0.960 | $20.16 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.282 | $19.74 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.978 | $18.58 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 33 | $0.987 | $32.57 | May 22, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.987 | $32.57 | May 22, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 82 | $0.250 | $20.5 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.129 | $5.15 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.800 | $30.4 | May 18, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.