Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 28.5% on 12 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 211 daily closes on record from 12 Nov 2025 to 1 Jul 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 42% on 13 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 27.5% on 18 Nov 2025. $2.96M traded over the market's life.
407 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 211 points, 12 Nov 2025 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2025 | 28.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Broken-Cashew | Yes | 1.47K |
| Shameless-Critic | Yes | 1.36K |
| CantStopWontStop | Yes | 973 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-and-indonesia-normalize-relations-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Handmade-Close | Yes | 910.29 |
| Dim-Fortress | Yes | 702.96 |
| Yelowyolo | Yes | 700 |
| Wooden-Zampone | Yes | 333.33 |
| AnneBrooks3275 | No | 293 |
| simplystupid188 | Yes | 264.41 |
| KimberlyCampbell3631 | Yes | 232 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
