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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 70.61 | $0.708 | $68.63 | +$18.63 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No | sell | 25.31 | $0.764 | $19.34 | May 18, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 75.76 |
| $0.660 |
| $60.98 |
| +$10.98 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10.71 | +$0.71 |
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | Yes | 45.45 | $0.220 | $3.86 | -$6.14 |
| sell |
| 133.33 |
| $0.007 |
| $0.93 |
| May 16, 2026 |
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 121.13 | $0.004 | $0.48 | May 16, 2026 |
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?Yes | sell | 49.04 | $0.053 | $2.6 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 10.51 | $0.997 | $10.48 | May 8, 2026 |
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?No | sell | 43.83 | $0.002 | $0.09 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?No | buy | 42.22 | $0.110 | $4.64 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETUp | buy | 2.02 | $0.480 | $0.97 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 63.81 | $0.988 | $63.05 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 10.51 | $0.951 | $10 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.160 | $11.43 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 63.82 | $0.862 | $55 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 793.65 | $0.007 | $5.36 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 75.76 | $0.660 | $50 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 344.77 | $0.015 | $5.18 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.4K | $0.019 | $25.96 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 84.28 | $0.059 | $5 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.045 | $25 | Mar 13, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 30.3 | $0.261 | $7.91 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.042 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.86K | $0.027 | $50 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?Yes | buy | 49.05 | $0.204 | $10 | Mar 7, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Nov 18, 2025 |
GTA VI released before June 2026?Yes | sell | 19.42 | $0.025 | $0.48 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.015 | $2 | Nov 6, 2025 |
Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 70.61 | $0.708 | $50 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Erste Bank Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevSinner | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Oct 20, 2025 |
Will Brazilian president Lula announce re-election run by December 31?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.400 | $32 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Bolsonaro guilty?No | sell | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Aug 28, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 121.21 | $0.330 | $40 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.670 | $20.94 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No | buy | 11.31 | $0.884 | $10 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31?Yes | sell | 72.71 | $0.999 | $72.64 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August?Yes | buy | 27.73 | $0.361 | $10 | Aug 6, 2025 |
Brazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impeached 2025?No | buy | 12 | $0.833 | $10 | Aug 6, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.124 | $1 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times August 1–August 8?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.079 | $1 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31?No | sell | 29.41 | $0.078 | $2.29 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.930 | $6 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | sell | 11.49 | $0.750 | $8.62 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Brazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impeached 2025?No | buy | 38.2 | $0.890 | $34 | Aug 4, 2025 |