Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 13% on 19 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 290 daily closes on record from 19 Mar 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 24.5% on 14 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 30 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 24.5% on 14 Jul 2025. $58.96K traded over the market's life.
73 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 290 points, 19 Mar 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Mar 2025 | 13.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Complete-Ecosystem | Yes | 10K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 572 |
| reidasbets | Yes | 480.98 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the the Federal Senate (Senado Federal) votes to proceed with any impeachment of Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil Alexandre de Moraes by December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of the first such vote the Senate undertakes (e.g., if the Federal Senate decides to vote on the impeachment of Alexandre de Moraes and it fails to pass, this market will resolve to "No"). This market will resolve to "Yes" as soon as the Senate successfully votes to proceed with this impeachment, regardless of the impeachment's outcome. If it becomes impossible to impeach Alexandre de Moraes while he is in his role as Minister (e.g., he resigns) and the "Yes" condition has not yet been met, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of Brazil, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/brazilian-supreme-court-minister-alexandre-de-moraes-be-impeached-2025
| lucasfurks | Yes | 480 |
| Dragonv | Yes | 449.99 |
| hyp3r | Yes | 240 |
| kingg | Yes | 229.75 |
| Bilada1 | Yes | 190.65 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 190 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 182.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
