Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 6.76 | $0.740 | $6.65 | +$1.65 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.18 | $0.919 | $2 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 |
| No |
| 1.01 |
| $0.986 |
| $1.01 |
| +$0.01 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 6.13 | $0.163 | $0.05 | -$0.95 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 5.13 | $0.195 | $0.04 | -$0.96 |
| buy |
| 2.13 |
| $0.940 |
| $2 |
| Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Campbell's (CPB) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionNo | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionYes | sell | 1.72 | $0.540 | $0.93 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Campbell's (CPB) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Samsara (IOT) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will DocuSign (DOCU) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Google Gemini ParlayYes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.939 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by December 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by December 31?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionYes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Half-Life 3 released in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 18.29 | $0.510 | $9.33 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 6.13 | $0.163 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.195 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 18.29 | $0.820 | $15 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.974 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Apple say "Siri" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?No | sell | 17.54 | $0.966 | $16.94 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by December 31?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?No | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.973 | $5 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Russian strike on Poland by September 30?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.977 | $5 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Sep 23, 2025 |