Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 58.2 |
| $0.086 |
| $5 |
| Feb 19, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will Jamie Dimon be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.050 | $4 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 30m Bluesky users in December?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 Will Matt Gaetz be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 38.1 | $0.210 | $8 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Nov 28, 2024 |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Ivanka Trump be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 203.64 | $0.039 | $8 | Nov 27, 2024 |
 Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration?No | buy | 44.25 | $0.113 | $5 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.59 | $0.659 | $5 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?No | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard be a member of the Trump administration?No | buy | 344.83 | $0.029 | $10 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 No change in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.023 | $25 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| 26-50 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| >50 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.010 | $10 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?Yes | buy | 185.56 | $0.027 | $5 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Global heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024?Yes | buy | 131.38 | $0.076 | $10 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?No | buy | 51.72 | $0.290 | $15 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Germany confidence vote in 2024?Yes | buy | 40.59 | $0.370 | $15 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10.08K | $0.010 | $100 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 261.78 | $0.377 | $98.69 | Nov 5, 2024 |