Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 63.5% on 3 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 3 Dec 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 63.5% on 3 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 52 points down, to 12% on 4 Dec 2024. $255.11K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 3 Dec 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2024 | 63.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| phroge | Yes | 493.89 |
| pinkponyDD | Yes | 360.9 |
| Aerdos | Yes | 297.14 |
| IlIl | Yes | 130.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bluesky reaches 30,000,000 or more users at any point between December 2 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET according to https://bsky-users.theo.io/. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the resolution source is unavailable at resolution time, https://bsky.jazco.dev/stats may be used. If both resolution sources are unavailable at resolution time, a new resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/30m-bluesky-users-in-december
| Neon Tide 3898 | Yes | 24.99 |
| Whorror | Yes | 20.83 |
| Amida | No | 4 |
| prinpitinma1974 | Yes | 0.24 |
| trutebjenvi1980 | No | 0.17 |
| adriany | Yes | 0.11 |
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