Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?

economyResolved

No, settled Dec 18, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$11.2M

Resolved

Settled

Dec 18, 2024 UTC

Topic roomFed and FOMC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 18 Dec 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.3% on 19 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 91 daily closes on record from 19 Sep 2024 to 18 Dec 2024, the highest close was 1.3% on 19 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 14 Dec 2024. $11.16M traded over the market's life.

346 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 19, 10:13 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 91 points, 19 Sep 2024 – 18 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–10%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	3.07M
gd3763	Yes	242.17K
lebarracuda	Yes	134.43K

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the FED changes rates to a level that is in between the other brackets in this market group, e.g. if they cut rates by 37.5 bps. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 17 - 18, 2024 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.