Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | sell | 1.4 | $0.911 | $1.28 | Nov 7, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 1.41 |
| $0.925 |
| $1.3 |
| Nov 7, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.03K | $0.977 | $1K | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.978 | $1K | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.03K | $0.977 | $1K | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.978 | $1K | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.04K | $0.977 | $1.02K | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.978 | $1.02K | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.977 | $1.03 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.950 | $1.1 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by August 22?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.979 | $1.01 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?No | buy | 51.2 | $0.996 | $51 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Kim Moon-soo win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Median" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.950 | $1.05 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.940 | $1.03 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever HappensYes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.864 | $1.04 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Solana above $200 on February 21?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.870 | $1.04 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Will Brentford win on 2025-01-14?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.810 | $1.12 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024?Yes | buy | 0.38 | $0.790 | $0.3 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?Yes | buy | 0.68 | $0.880 | $0.6 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.962 | $1.2 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 0.43 | $0.760 | $0.33 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Trump win no swing states?No | buy | 0.33 | $0.920 | $0.3 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Ding Liren plays in 2024 World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 0.27 | $0.970 | $0.26 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?No | buy | 0.17 | $0.630 | $0.11 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.Pereira | buy | 0.16 | $0.810 | $0.13 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Will $cult launch in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Oct 3, 2024 |
 Solana all time high in Q4?No | buy | 0.36 | $0.840 | $0.3 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | buy | 0.2 | $0.984 | $0.2 | Oct 1, 2024 |
 Megaquake in September?No | buy | 0.11 | $0.985 | $0.11 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 0.1 | $0.958 | $0.1 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?No | buy | 0.13 | $0.965 | $0.13 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 Alexandre de Moraes impeached in September?No | buy | 0.04 | $0.997 | $0.04 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 US GDP declines in Q3 2024?No | buy | 0.1 | $0.978 | $0.1 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 Will Circle IPO in 2024?No | buy | 0.18 | $0.760 | $0.14 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 Diddy released from custody before October?No | buy | 0.26 | $0.998 | $0.26 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 Martin Shkreli jail in 2024?No | buy | 0.31 | $0.960 | $0.3 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up in September?No | buy | 0.1 | $0.992 | $0.1 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 Will Jalen Hurts be the top Fantasy Quarterback?No | buy | 0.14 | $0.870 | $0.12 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 Will Charles Leclerc win the 2024 F1 season?No | buy | 0.1 | $0.994 | $0.1 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 WNBA: Liberty vs. Dream Game 2Liberty | buy | 0.23 | $0.880 | $0.2 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 WNBA: Sun vs. Fever Game 2Sun | buy | 0.04 | $0.730 | $0.03 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 $BTC dips below $50k before October?No | buy | 0.06 | $0.987 | $0.06 | Sep 24, 2024 |