Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 2.8% on 5 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 5 Sep 2024 to 1 Oct 2024, the highest close was 2.8% on 5 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Sep 2024. $44.33K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 6:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 5 Sep 2024 – 1 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2024 | 2.8% |
| 1 Oct 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Connect99 | Yes | 379.31 |
| GillesYapiYapo | Yes | 333.33 |
| spasxe | Yes | 1.6 |
| Crafty-Fatherinlaw | Yes | 1.38 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Supreme Court Judge Alexandre de Moraes recently banned X within Brazil. On September 4, Elon Musk posted 23 senators in brazil have voted to impeach him. You can find that post here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1831413475039723910 This market will resolve to "Yes" if a successful vote to impeach Moraes passes the Brazilian Federal Senate (Senado Federal) between September 3 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Brazilian federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/alexandre-de-moraes-impeached-in-september
| 6546iik | Yes | 1.05 |
| madmax1 | Yes | 0.8 |
| jenga | No | 0.05 |
| Veter-012 | No | 0.04 |
| Vgvlrt | No | 0.03 |
| 50Whence | No | 0.01 |
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