Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | sell | 111 | $0.005 | $0.56 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 333 |
| $0.024 |
| $7.93 |
| Jan 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?Yes | sell | 101.14 | $0.910 | $92.05 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 Manchester City wins the Premier League?No | sell | 110.97 | $0.982 | $108.97 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden?Yes | sell | 499 | $0.024 | $11.88 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?Yes | sell | 230.18 | $0.008 | $1.77 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 GPT-5 not announced in 2024?No | sell | 10 | $0.015 | $0.15 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?No | sell | 451.2 | $0.991 | $446.96 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?No | sell | 1.9K | $0.979 | $1.86K | Dec 23, 2024 |
| U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?No | sell | 10 | $0.981 | $9.81 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?No | sell | 50 | $0.996 | $49.8 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?No | sell | 219.73 | $0.990 | $217.53 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.005 | $5.55 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 385.99 | $0.080 | $30.88 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?Yes | sell | 221.99 | $0.150 | $33.3 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024?No | sell | 153.96 | $0.990 | $152.42 | Dec 22, 2024 |
+placed+on+a+vibrant+green+arrow+that's+shooting+upwards%2C+symbolizing+the+rapid+growth+and+bullis.webp) Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?Yes | sell | 2.56K | $0.020 | $51.29 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?No | sell | 386.97 | $0.340 | $131.57 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?Yes | sell | 18.86 | $0.090 | $1.7 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Israel x Iran peace deal in 2024?Yes | sell | 426.13 | $0.007 | $2.98 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Supreme Court vacancy in 2024?Yes | sell | 509.3 | $0.020 | $10.19 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?No | sell | 607.21 | $0.013 | $7.89 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will Circle IPO in 2024?Yes | sell | 1.7K | $0.008 | $13.15 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Netanyahu out in 2024?Yes | sell | 243.02 | $0.012 | $2.92 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024?Yes | sell | 623.32 | $0.007 | $4.61 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Pershing Square IPO in 2024?Yes | sell | 1.01K | $0.002 | $2.03 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Supreme Court term limits in 2024?Yes | sell | 3.24K | $0.001 | $4.6 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up in 2024?No | sell | 222 | $0.972 | $215.84 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Iran Nuke in 2024?Yes | sell | 523 | $0.012 | $6.51 | Dec 19, 2024 |
| Supreme Court term limits in 2024?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.002 | $0.5 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Supreme Court term limits in 2024?Yes | sell | 3.14K | $0.006 | $19.41 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024?Yes | sell | 7.3K | $0.002 | $16.43 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.33K | $0.011 | $14.66 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Will Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?Yes | sell | 24.44 | $0.996 | $24.34 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?No | sell | 111 | $0.890 | $98.79 | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?No | sell | 1.55K | $0.890 | $1.38K | Dec 3, 2024 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Yes | sell | 123.13 | $0.220 | $27.09 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?Yes | sell | 1.18 | $0.006 | $0.01 | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | sell | 2.5K | $0.985 | $2.46K | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | sell | 2.11K | $0.989 | $2.09K | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.040 | $4.4 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes | sell | 664 | $0.003 | $1.99 | Dec 3, 2024 |
| U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?No | sell | 151 | $0.953 | $143.85 | Dec 3, 2024 |
| U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?No | sell | 1.25K | $0.960 | $1.2K | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2024?Yes | sell | 1.05K | $0.030 | $31.5 | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2024?Yes | sell | 643.95 | $0.040 | $25.76 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?No | sell | 2.11K | $0.945 | $1.99K | Dec 3, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign in 2024?No | sell | 154.99 | $0.976 | $151.27 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?No | sell | 340.52 | $0.998 | $339.84 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.001 | $1.5 | Dec 2, 2024 |