Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Solana above $215 on January 10?Yes | buy | 369.56 | $0.014 | $5 | Jan 10, 2025 |
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disturbedindividual is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,828,916 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$287.13 observed lifetime PnL, 79 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 18.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x70ee7a6f26afcba0e9eb4ab0a61a7c9a0e162a09
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 37.86 |
| $0.132 |
| $5 |
| Jan 10, 2025 |
 Sunset wildfire burns 1k or more acres by Sunday?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.036 | $5 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "cut" 7 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?Yes | buy | 18.86 | $0.380 | $7.17 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December FOMC Press Conference?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.120 | $1.8 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?No | buy | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelensky attend presidential inauguration?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Trump deportation executive order in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.910 | $22.75 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty?Yes | buy | 92.59 | $0.270 | $25 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.130 | $6.5 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Lana Del Rey pregnant in 2024?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up in 2024?Yes | buy | 143.43 | $0.035 | $5 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Jay-Z arrested in 2024?Yes | buy | 108.94 | $0.046 | $5 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Bryan Johnson’s average nighttime erection 2h 12m+ in Dec?No | buy | 25 | $0.370 | $9.25 | Dec 11, 2024 |
| Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.150 | $7.5 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Tesla bot at Trump inauguration?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Hunter Biden sentenced to rehab in gun case?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Hunter Biden sentenced to house arrest in gun case?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "Biden" in her speech after the election is called?No | buy | 37.33 | $0.134 | $5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.991 | $35.39 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 150.65 | $0.999 | $150.5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Mail-in" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.030 | $0.38 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.350 | $3.89 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Pennsylvania" in his speech after the election is called?No | sell | 34.86 | $0.100 | $3.49 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Steal", "Stealing", "Stole", or "Stolen" in his speech after the election is called?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.800 | $4.6 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Pennsylvania" in his speech after the election is called?No | buy | 34.87 | $0.143 | $5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Rig" or "Rigged" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Mail-in" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 25.64 | $0.961 | $24.64 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 74.31 | $0.884 | $65.69 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 114.68 | $0.654 | $75 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 100 | $0.380 | $38 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.650 | $15 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Peanut" or "squirrel" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 35.97 | $0.278 | $10 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 271 | $0.369 | $100 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Halloween" during Henderson, Nevada rally on Oct 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "IQ" during Nevada rally on Oct 31?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Springfield" during Nevada rally on Oct 31?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Oct 31, 2024 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.