Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 93%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 12 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 174 daily closes on record from 12 Jun 2024 to 2 Dec 2024, the highest close was 8.5% on 12 Jun 2024 and the lowest 4.5% on 8 Oct 2024. $1.83K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 3, 3:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 174 points, 12 Jun 2024 – 2 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–12%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2024 | 8.5% |
| 2 Dec 2024 | 7.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| UIYUIYUIU | Yes | 0.13 |
| CVBHJDFGSD | Yes | 0.13 |
| verhsmjr | No | 0.04 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden is sentenced to any any term of house arrest for convictions in his federal gun charges case "The United States of America vs. Robert Hunter Biden". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered before December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution will be based on the initial sentencing rendered in this case, regardless of any subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hunter-biden-gun-sentence
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Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
