Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.4%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 12 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 174 daily closes on record from 12 Jun 2024 to 2 Dec 2024, the highest close was 53.2% on 12 Nov 2024 and the lowest 3.5% on 12 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 47 points up, to 51.8% on 8 Oct 2024. $13.79K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 3, 5:11 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 174 points, 12 Jun 2024 – 2 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2024 | 3.5% |
| 2 Dec 2024 | 4.6% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden is ordered to attend any drug treatment or rehabilitation program for convictions in his federal gun charges case "The United States of America vs. Robert Hunter Biden". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered before December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution will be based on the initial sentencing rendered in this case, regardless of any subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hunter-biden-gun-sentence
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Geromi | No | 0.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
