Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.7%. Yes opened at 76.5% on 5 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 5 Dec 2024 to 24 Dec 2024, the highest close was 99.7% on 24 Dec 2024 and the lowest 58.5% on 11 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 63.5% on 7 Dec 2024. $128.5K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 23, 8:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 5 Dec 2024 – 24 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2024 | 76.5% |
| 24 Dec 2024 | 99.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| brooooooo | No | 708.04 |
| Shantrumpshan | Yes | 635.58 |
| caju | No | 273.08 |
| crabonthemoon | No | 156.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bryan Johnson sustains a nighttime erection for 2 hours and 12 minutes or more based upon the highest of three readings taken during the last week of December 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be information from Bryan Johnson. If Bryan Johnson does not release relevant data by January 15, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bryan-johnsons-average-nighttime-erection-2h-13m-in-december
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| RawDawg | No | 127.88 |
| Not Thomiz | No | 117.57 |
| Sexylobster | No | 101.87 |
| Jasonaax | No | 14 |
| KingDon | Yes | 7.46 |
| Vendel | Yes | 6.27 |
