Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 90.5%. Yes opened at 38.5% on 6 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2024 to 15 Nov 2024, the highest close was 38.5% on 6 Nov 2024 and the lowest 6.5% on 14 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 25% on 7 Nov 2024. $26.26K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 16, 4:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 6 Nov 2024 – 15 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2024 | 38.5% |
| 15 Nov 2024 | 9.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Scavy99 | Yes | 201.38 |
| cryptoclown420 | Yes | 153.85 |
| 0xBenderBot | Yes | 92.39 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the first speech given by Donald Trump after the Associated Press (AP) has declared a winner for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. If the AP declares a winner while Donald Trump has already begun delivering a speech, the entirety of the speech will be considered for this market including terms mentioned prior to the AP’s announcement. A speech is defined as any statement delivered on camera which is three minutes (180 seconds) or greater in length. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Mail-in" during their speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If the AP does not declare a winner by November 30, 2024 ET, or Donald Trump does not give a speech between the AP declaring a winner and November 30, 2024 ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-in-speech-after-election-is-called
| Yes |
| 76.92 |
| SPRUT | Yes | 73.95 |
| Bluffet | Yes | 17.81 |
| floridaman | Yes | 15 |
| tsunami6233 | Yes | 8.93 |
| RCPaper | Yes | 7.5 |
| Bold Falcon DF78 | No | 0.46 |
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