Latest trade
Apr 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 11:22 PM UTC.
Analytics
hetlock has made $4.68K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-06-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 11:22 PM UTC.
$2.47 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 15 markets; 94.0% were buys. They run from Apr 18, 2026 UTC to Apr 20, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1.08K | $0.637 | $916.77 | +$226.05 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETUp | sell | 30 | $0.300 | $9 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-06-24 02:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 23:22 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 23:22 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-06-24 02:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $5.21K and losing ones cost $692.91 across the latest 50 settled positions. 64% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.67K on “Nothing Ever Happens: November” (Yes); the largest loss, $132.05 on “Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 20 Apr 2026. It has traded 119 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.55K across 69 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 516.53 |
| $0.806 |
| $505.94 |
| +$89.72 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 263.65 | $0.680 | $243.87 | +$64.59 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 237.89 | $0.590 | $189.72 | +$49.32 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | No | 299.99 | $0.460 | $187.5 | +$49.5 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 123.46 | $0.810 | $120.8 | +$20.8 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 185.19 | $0.540 | $120.37 | +$20.37 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 117.65 | $0.850 | $115.35 | +$15.35 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 200 | $0.500 | $40.5 | -$59.5 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 101 | $0.005 | $12.68 | +$12.21 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 101 | $0.005 | $11.21 | +$10.74 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.360 | $10 | -$26 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 101 | $0.005 | $9.44 | +$8.97 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 101 | $0.005 | $9.24 | +$8.77 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 9.9 | $0.660 | $9.21 | +$2.67 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 1.05K | $0.064 | $6.82 | -$60.42 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 1.24K | $0.020 | $4.96 | -$19.85 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 101 | $0.005 | $3.79 | +$3.32 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 101 | $0.005 | $2.98 | +$2.51 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 850 | $0.038 | $2.98 | -$29.27 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 650 | $0.068 | $2.92 | -$41.27 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 101 | $0.005 | $2.88 | +$2.41 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 300 | $0.025 | $2.85 | -$4.65 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 101 | $0.005 | $2.53 | +$2.06 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 101 | $0.005 | $2.07 | +$1.6 |
| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.240 |
| $7.2 |
| Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETDown | sell | 29.13 | $0.960 | $27.96 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETDown | buy | 28.27 | $0.600 | $16.96 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETUp | buy | 40 | $0.030 | $1.2 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETUp | buy | 25.94 | $0.060 | $1.56 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETUp | buy | 30 | $0.300 | $9 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.620 | $12.4 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETDown | buy | 15 | $0.620 | $9.3 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETDown | buy | 130 | $0.030 | $3.9 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETDown | buy | 47.19 | $0.610 | $28.79 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETDown | buy | 2.34 | $0.740 | $1.73 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETDown | buy | 7 | $0.740 | $5.18 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETDown | buy | 10.66 | $0.740 | $7.89 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETDown | buy | 15 | $0.740 | $11.1 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETUp | buy | 27.11 | $0.330 | $8.94 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETDown | buy | 13.52 | $0.820 | $11.09 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETDown | buy | 17.26 | $0.050 | $0.86 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETDown | buy | 17.29 | $0.060 | $1.04 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETDown | buy | 17.38 | $0.090 | $1.56 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETDown | buy | 4.78 | $0.150 | $0.72 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETDown | buy | 2.35 | $0.150 | $0.35 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETDown | buy | 2.85 | $0.150 | $0.43 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETDown | buy | 8.86 | $0.210 | $1.86 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETDown | buy | 17.84 | $0.250 | $4.46 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETUp | buy | 100.99 | $0.989 | $99.83 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETDown | buy | 5.65 | $0.550 | $3.11 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETDown | buy | 5.58 | $0.550 | $3.07 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETDown | buy | 1.57 | $0.550 | $0.86 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETDown | buy | 2.85 | $0.550 | $1.57 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETDown | buy | 3.15 | $0.550 | $1.73 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETDown | buy | 1.2 | $0.550 | $0.66 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETDown | buy | 9.5 | $0.650 | $6.17 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETDown | buy | 9.52 | $0.670 | $6.38 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETUp | buy | 9.41 | $0.590 | $5.55 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 101 | $0.082 | $8.28 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETUp | buy | 1.03 | $0.030 | $0.03 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETUp | buy | 15.2 | $0.030 | $0.46 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.030 | $0.15 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETUp | buy | 6 | $0.030 | $0.18 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETUp | buy | 5.8 | $0.030 | $0.17 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETUp | buy | 6 | $0.030 | $0.18 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETUp | buy | 6 | $0.030 | $0.18 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETUp | buy | 51.29 | $0.030 | $1.54 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETUp | buy | 7.26 | $0.030 | $0.22 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.