hetlock has made $4.68K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-06-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1.08K | $0.637 | $916.77 | +$226.05 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-06-24 02:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-26 03:32 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 03:32 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-06-24 02:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $5.21K and losing ones cost $692.91 across the latest 50 settled positions. 64% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.67K on “Nothing Ever Happens: November” (Yes); the largest loss, $132.05 on “Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?” (Yes).
It has traded 119 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.55K across 69 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 516.53 |
| $0.806 |
| $505.68 |
| +$89.46 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 263.65 | $0.680 | $243.87 | +$64.59 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 237.89 | $0.590 | $190.07 | +$49.68 |
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | No | 299.99 | $0.460 | $187.5 | +$49.5 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 123.46 | $0.810 | $120.8 | +$20.8 |
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 185.19 | $0.540 | $120.37 | +$20.37 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 117.65 | $0.850 | $115.47 | +$15.47 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 200 | $0.500 | $40.2 | -$59.8 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 101 | $0.005 | $12.68 | +$12.21 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 101 | $0.005 | $11.41 | +$10.94 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 101 | $0.005 | $9.49 | +$9.02 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 101 | $0.005 | $9.44 | +$8.97 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 9.9 | $0.660 | $9.18 | +$2.64 |
US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.360 | $8.5 | -$27.5 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 1.05K | $0.064 | $6.82 | -$60.42 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 1.24K | $0.020 | $4.96 | -$19.85 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 101 | $0.005 | $3.84 | +$3.37 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 101 | $0.005 | $2.98 | +$2.51 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 850 | $0.038 | $2.98 | -$29.27 |
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 101 | $0.005 | $2.93 | +$2.46 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 650 | $0.068 | $2.92 | -$41.27 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 300 | $0.025 | $2.85 | -$4.65 |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 101 | $0.005 | $2.53 | +$2.06 |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 101 | $0.005 | $2.07 | +$1.6 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.