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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 2.68 | $0.950 | $2.56 | +$0.01 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.967 | $1.2 | 8d ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.24 |
| $0.930 |
| $2.14 |
| +$0.06 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 2.02 | $0.880 | $1.87 | +$0.09 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 2.81 | $0.570 | $1.87 | +$0.27 |
 Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | Yes | 1.86 | $0.764 | $1.78 | +$0.36 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.77 | $0.983 | $1.76 | +$0.02 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.43 | $0.984 | $1.43 | +$0.02 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 2.49 | $0.550 | $1.35 | -$0.02 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 2.48 | $0.540 | $1.33 | -$0.01 |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | No | 1.4 | $0.940 | $1.31 | -$0.01 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 1.24 | $0.967 | $1.21 | +$0.01 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 1.39 | $0.770 | $1.19 | +$0.12 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 1.31 | $0.810 | $1.18 | +$0.12 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.23 | $0.560 | $1.17 | -$0.08 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2.06 | $0.620 | $1.13 | -$0.15 |
 California Immunology Research Bond Proposition | Yes | 2.26 | $0.789 | $1.09 | -$0.69 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 1.14 | $0.930 | $1.09 | +$0.03 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.17 | $0.888 | $1.09 | +$0.05 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 1.09 | $0.950 | $1.08 | +$0.04 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 1.24 | $0.880 | $1.07 | -$0.02 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 1.21 | $0.931 | $1.06 | -$0.07 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.13 | $0.930 | $1.05 | -$0.01 |
| Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election? | Yes | 1.27 | $0.840 | $1.02 | -$0.05 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 1.34 | $0.870 | $0.93 | -$0.24 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 1.48 | $0.940 | $0.6 | -$0.79 |
| buy |
| 1.27 |
| $0.840 |
| $1.07 |
| 10d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.996 | $1.21 | 12d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.950 | $1.04 | 18d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.989 | $1.2 | 19d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.31 | $0.810 | $1.06 | 19d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.770 | $1.07 | 20d ago |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.938 | $1.48 | 21d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.930 | $1.06 | 21d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 1.72 | $0.720 | $1.24 | 24d ago |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.988 | $1.13 | 25d ago |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.880 | $1.09 | 25d ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.988 | $1.31 | 25d ago |
 Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 1.24 | $0.985 | $1.22 | 25d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.930 | $1.05 | 26d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.931 | $1.13 | 26d ago |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.860 | $1.16 | 27d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | sell | 1.3 | $0.110 | $0.14 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.820 | $1.07 | 29d ago |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.940 | $1.32 | 29d ago |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.940 | $1.49 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?Yes | sell | 1.46 | $0.950 | $1.39 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.960 | $1.41 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.76 | $0.983 | $1.73 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 3.05 | $0.930 | $2.84 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | sell | 1.91 | $0.990 | $1.89 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?No | sell | 1.36 | $0.727 | $0.99 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.975 | $1.3 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.720 | $1.02 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.984 | $1.41 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Yes | sell | 1.24 | $0.934 | $1.16 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.957 | $1.39 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No | sell | 1.24 | $0.900 | $1.12 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.17 | $0.888 | $1.04 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 1.64 | $0.870 | $1.43 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Yes | buy | 1.24 | $0.870 | $1.08 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.870 | $1.08 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.870 | $1.17 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.940 | $1.39 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?No | sell | 3.23 | $0.360 | $1.16 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.750 | $1.02 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.900 | $1.48 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.650 | $1.12 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.974 | $1.87 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 2.14 | $0.978 | $2.09 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 2.3 | $0.760 | $1.75 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.620 | $1.28 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.23 | $0.560 | $1.25 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 2.49 | $0.550 | $1.37 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 2.48 | $0.540 | $1.34 | Jul 31, 2026 |