Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 69.5% on 15 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 15 Jul 2026 to 25 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 25 Aug 2026 and the lowest 50.5% on 24 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 50.5% on 24 Jul 2026. $83.76K traded over the market's life.
67 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 26, 5:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 15 Jul 2026 – 25 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2026 | 69.5% |
| 25 Aug 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| EsperanzasDESTROYER | No | 2.98K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.42K |
| BiDiFakePolls | No | 699.63 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kazakhstan-kurultai-election-2nd-place-20260713225045611
| No |
| 159.26 |
| Amber Pulse BB1D | No | 133.07 |
| ghorrock | No | 131.83 |
| ACara | No | 125.11 |
| runechiters | No | 115.87 |
| Royal Pulse AF37 | No | 93.56 |
| Berthagnbh | No | 51 |
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