Analytics
Yes is at 98.6%, up 51 points from 47.5% when the market opened on 27 Jun 2026.
Across the 119 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99% on 18 Sep 2026 and the lowest 47.5% on 27 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 97.3%; a month before, 93.8%. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 87.5% on 28 Jun 2026.
Ricardo Samaniego is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “2026 El Paso County Judge Election Winner”, ahead of Minerva Torres Shelton at 1.6%.
$26.54K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $17.1K, with a 0.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 482 trades, $11.58K bought Yes and $499.23 bought No; the largest was a $6.72K buy of Yes at 88.2¢.
The largest Yes position is nicoco89 with 3.6K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.4K. Ten wallets hold 87.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 119 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 47.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 98.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nicoco89 | Yes | 3.56K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.43K |
| singularityman | No | 1.09K |
The 2026 El Paso County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of El Paso County, TX. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of El Paso County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and El Paso County.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-el-paso-county-judge-election-winner-20260626004500794
| Elias.Thornwell |
| Yes |
| 513.84 |
| ABC12345654321 | Yes | 334.87 |
| EsperanzasDESTROYER | Yes | 300 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 226.3 |
| ViscaElBarca | No | 200 |
| qqqppp-l1 | No | 195.83 |
| sweetj | Yes | 148 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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